Third covid wave Likely to Hit India Next Month

India may see start of third covid wave from next month

Based on historical trends the cases can start rising by the second fortnight of Aug’21 with peak cases a minimum of a month later.

Ringing alarm bells for policy makers and citizens, a discovery report has argued that India could see a third Covid wave from August 2021. The report – COVID-19: The race to finish line – prepared by SBI Research, claims that the covid third wave peak will arrive within the month of September 2021.

The research report said that India reached the second peak of the  covid wave on 7 May. “Going by the present data, India can experience cases around10,000 somewhere round the 2nd week of July. However, by the second fortnight of August, the cases remained unchanged.

These are the highlights from the report : 

Global data shows that on the average third wave peak cases are around 1.7 times the height cases at the time of second-wave.
However, supported historical trends the cases can start rising by the second fortnight of Aug’21 with peak cases a minimum of a month later.

India has started giving quite 40 lakh vaccination doses per day as shown by 7 DMA.

Overall, India has fully vaccinated 4.6% of its population, aside from 20.8% having received one dose. this is often still less than other countries including the US, the UK, Israel, Spain, France among others.

The decline in bank deposits in FY21 and concomitant increase in health expenditure may end in further increase in household debt to GDP in FY22.

States with high per capita GDP are related to higher Covid-19 deaths per million while low per capita GDP are related to low Covid-19 deaths.

Only 4.6 per cent of the population in India is fully vaccinated, while 20.8 per cent have received one dose, much lower compared to other countries including the US (47.1 per cent), the united kingdom (48.7 per cent), Israel (59.8 per cent), Spain (38.5 per cent), France (31.2), among others.




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